Optimal Robust Reinsurance with Multiple Insurers
Joint work with Sebastian Jaimungal and Silvana Pesenti
in Preprints
August 22, 2023
Abstract:
We study a reinsurer who faces multiple sources of model uncertainty. The reinsurer offers contracts to n insurers whose claims follow different compound Poisson processes. As the reinsurer is uncertain about the insurers’ claim severity distributions and frequencies, they design reinsurance contracts that maximise their expected wealth subject to an entropy penalty. Insurers meanwhile seek to maximise their expected utility without ambiguity. We solve this continuous-time Stackelberg game for general reinsurance contracts and find that the reinsurer prices under a distortion of the barycentre of the insurers’ models. We apply our results to proportional reinsurance and excess-of-loss reinsurance contracts, and illustrate the solutions numerically. Furthermore, we solve the related problem where the reinsurer maximises, still under ambiguity, their expected utility and compare the solutions.